{"slug":"jensen-huang-announced-resignation-or-removal-by-december-31","title":"Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?","category":"leadership","moves":"Leadership of a listed company: its share price, and its suppliers' and customers'.","deadline":"2026-12-31","score":1.798,"forecast":0.5751,"crowd":0.4694,"live_quote":0.9995,"market_closed":false,"market_url":"https://polymarket.com/market/jensen-huang-announced-resignation-or-removal-by-december-31","call":null,"position":{"slug":"jensen-huang-announced-resignation-or-removal-by-december-31","title":"Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?","category":"leadership","side":"YES","opened_at":"2026-11-12T10:15:24.435Z","deadline":"2026-12-31","crowd_at_entry":0.4886,"forecast_at_entry":0.5937,"forecast_now":0.5751,"entry":0.4886,"mark":0.4694,"marked_live":false,"mark_source":"ledger (live quote 100¢ incoherent)","settled":false,"outcome":null,"stake":100,"shares":204.67,"value":96.08,"pnl":-3.92,"expected_pnl":21.52},"entries":[{"id":1,"at":"2026-11-12T10:15:24.435Z","crowd":0.4886,"forecast":0.5937,"trigger":"first forecast","hash":"82514e343329efb1c435dc2838c359a12cb277d72bee342a32b0652071e6ee55","prev_hash":null,"tokens":748},{"id":7,"at":"2026-11-12T12:15:24.424Z","crowd":0.5282,"forecast":0.6255,"trigger":"2 new signals","hash":"575d10780709888473e277acb6c0f98ad056b70c99eb297b8789ed39cef214c1","prev_hash":"ba35dc786a29c2c24d3945ea7f35e907098db099b772593ac66d72815209d2a1","tokens":872},{"id":11,"at":"2026-11-12T13:15:24.233Z","crowd":0.4694,"forecast":0.5751,"trigger":"6 new signals","hash":"7c3f8eb9d6c77b874d7436634eb4bea9d9b05a6bda47eaff494d31cc0dc07fbe","prev_hash":"82a7b225f9e0fc10c31ceaa531f8eb63fdf0819c31de1788b0c70837a07c33a2","tokens":896}],"evidence":[{"id":"E1","title":"Jensen Huang affair in DC: Resignation calls and moves to tighten Nvidia China exports","url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2026/11/11/nvidia-jensen-huang-congress-resign-ai-chips.html","source":"rss","date":"2026-11-12"},{"id":"E2","title":"Congress to call Jensen Huang in to answer for alleged Chinese spy affair","url":"https://techcrunch.com/2026/11/11/congress-to-call-jensen-huang-in-to-answer-for-alleged-chinese-spy-affair/","source":"rss","date":"2026-11-12"},{"id":"E3","title":"Jensen Huang accused of having another affair — with an Nvidia exec","url":"https://techcrunch.com/2026/11/11/jensen-huang-accused-of-having-another-affair-with-a-nvidia-exec/","source":"rss","date":"2026-11-12"},{"id":"E4","title":"Nvidia’s stock drops as board reportedly preps to oust CEO Jensen Huang","url":"https://techcrunch.com/2026/11/11/nvidias-stock-drops-as-board-reportedly-preps-to-oust-ceo-jensen-huang/","source":"rss","date":"2026-11-12"},{"id":"E5","title":"The unfolding Jensen Huang scandal: a timeline","url":"https://techcrunch.com/2026/11/11/nvidia-ceo-jensen-huangs-affair-with-alleged-chinese-spy-a-timeline/","source":"rss","date":"2026-11-12"},{"id":"E6","title":"Who could replace Jensen Huang? A highly unscientific list of possible successors","url":"https://techcrunch.com/2026/11/11/who-could-replace-jensen-huang-a-highly-unscientific-list-of-possible-successors/","source":"rss","date":"2026-11-12"}],"verdicts":[{"model":"deepseek-v4-flash-0731","ok":true,"shift":0.5,"cites":["E4","E6"],"mechanism":"The board reportedly prepping to oust the CEO is direct, actionable information that likely hasn't been fully priced in, and successor speculation confirms the board is actively considering replacement, raising the probability of removal by year-end.","watch":"Any official Nvidia board statement or SEC filing confirming a vote on Jensen Huang's removal within the next week."},{"model":"kimi-k2.6","ok":true,"shift":1.2,"cites":["E4","E2","E1"],"mechanism":"E4 reports board actively preparing to oust Huang, which is more concrete than generic resignation calls; combined with E2's congressional summons and E1's export tightening pressure, this creates multiple credible removal pathways not fully priced at 47%","watch":"Nvidia board issues statement confirming or denying CEO removal discussions"}],"related_markets":[],"related_reports":[],"proxy":{"id":"NASDAQ100","name":"Nasdaq-100 index","unit":"","start_date":"2026-11-11","start":28374.25,"now_date":"2026-11-11","now":28374.25,"change":0,"change_pct":0,"sensitivity":{"daily_sd":1.485,"move":0,"days":1,"z":0,"unit":"%"}},"resolution":{"source":"Polymarket market jensen-huang-announced-resignation-or-removal-by-december-31","rule":"settles when the market closes at 0 or 1; the engine reads the closed price and scores its last forecast against the crowd's price at that moment","by":"2026-12-31"},"generated_at":"2026-11-13T00:28:36.754Z"}