{"generated_at":"2026-11-13T00:28:30.438Z","chain":{"rows":67,"ok":67,"intact":true,"broken":[],"head":"f16aa7b6816bb302adb79342da1d30147f9242aee5cdb3ebed8abe72d8018521","recipe":"sha256(JSON.stringify([created_at, slug, prior, p, evidence urls in order, prev_hash or \"\"]))"},"questions":22,"entries":67,"record":{"settled":0,"right_side":0,"wrong_side":0,"beat_market":0,"market_better":0,"due":0,"awaiting_settlement":0,"value_added":{"n":0}},"settled":[],"latest":[{"id":67,"at":"2026-11-13T00:15:24.316Z","slug":"iran-leadership-change-by-november-30","title":"Iran leadership change by November 30?","forecast":0.023,"crowd":0.023,"hash":"f16aa7b6816bb302adb79342da1d30147f9242aee5cdb3ebed8abe72d8018521","prev_hash":"cbfd47bde0de79a12fb9b3806f91d4e5e4539eb168006e53b640b0d2fd042dc9"},{"id":66,"at":"2026-11-13T00:15:24.316Z","slug":"us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-november-15-2026","title":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?","forecast":0.0165,"crowd":0.0165,"hash":"cbfd47bde0de79a12fb9b3806f91d4e5e4539eb168006e53b640b0d2fd042dc9","prev_hash":"e74761f2bbed7ef2993993f2a2fe6ebd9d431798e9f1ffd686e41e6d8b42fb6b"},{"id":65,"at":"2026-11-13T00:15:24.316Z","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-november-30-20260810151158765","title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?","forecast":0.0245,"crowd":0.0245,"hash":"e74761f2bbed7ef2993993f2a2fe6ebd9d431798e9f1ffd686e41e6d8b42fb6b","prev_hash":"cb3d08705038c1bc47344dd7eceb22def7a0552fc11f7eb6cfcd3713401414a2"},{"id":64,"at":"2026-11-13T00:15:24.316Z","slug":"will-crude-oil-reach-a-new-all-time-high-by-december-31","title":"Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?","forecast":0.045,"crowd":0.045,"hash":"cb3d08705038c1bc47344dd7eceb22def7a0552fc11f7eb6cfcd3713401414a2","prev_hash":"e08efd5e21fc8a995961848c8ea523a58ef3e4d5be39ac7eff7b6f1fb361d528"},{"id":63,"at":"2026-11-13T00:15:24.316Z","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-22","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?","forecast":0.855,"crowd":0.855,"hash":"e08efd5e21fc8a995961848c8ea523a58ef3e4d5be39ac7eff7b6f1fb361d528","prev_hash":"19d738035f7a6e89dcaa57604262845489229021515261b7d060030fd86e8449"},{"id":62,"at":"2026-11-12T23:15:24.507Z","slug":"will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","title":"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","forecast":0.0275,"crowd":0.0275,"hash":"19d738035f7a6e89dcaa57604262845489229021515261b7d060030fd86e8449","prev_hash":"8a5c7683c5285162ec9c2110694709a223d42bf83b4923ec29ae00db43beb09b"},{"id":61,"at":"2026-11-12T23:15:24.507Z","slug":"will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-december-2026-meeting-20260729232808635","title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?","forecast":0.014,"crowd":0.014,"hash":"8a5c7683c5285162ec9c2110694709a223d42bf83b4923ec29ae00db43beb09b","prev_hash":"342272fc53f272eef49643b6ff77fdcbadeb97eb65204b4875c3fbb485e1650d"},{"id":60,"at":"2026-11-12T23:15:24.507Z","slug":"will-crude-oil-reach-a-new-all-time-high-by-december-31","title":"Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?","forecast":0.045,"crowd":0.045,"hash":"342272fc53f272eef49643b6ff77fdcbadeb97eb65204b4875c3fbb485e1650d","prev_hash":"d8963f3a0ce4f0eef61cb90afd57498467e98e66ba1f18ca5ebae7667e3fe608"},{"id":59,"at":"2026-11-12T23:15:24.507Z","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-december-31-415","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","forecast":0.7155,"crowd":0.645,"hash":"d8963f3a0ce4f0eef61cb90afd57498467e98e66ba1f18ca5ebae7667e3fe608","prev_hash":"6b7520d5d24ea05cd8855683eab8cfead74cae4bfcbde40b469792a6d55198a9"},{"id":58,"at":"2026-11-12T23:15:24.507Z","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-15-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?","forecast":0.43,"crowd":0.43,"hash":"6b7520d5d24ea05cd8855683eab8cfead74cae4bfcbde40b469792a6d55198a9","prev_hash":"b6ab4c21bb87e7b08c489787f90027e280954922dc816a65d754dc044e0b77b0"},{"id":57,"at":"2026-11-12T22:15:24.504Z","slug":"will-crude-oil-reach-a-new-all-time-high-by-december-31","title":"Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?","forecast":0.045,"crowd":0.045,"hash":"b6ab4c21bb87e7b08c489787f90027e280954922dc816a65d754dc044e0b77b0","prev_hash":"11449a838daf79ce58910581b30d23b1f2f2886fcf5ef18a078b325283ac0b89"},{"id":56,"at":"2026-11-12T22:15:24.504Z","slug":"us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-december-31-2026-191","title":"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?","forecast":0.075,"crowd":0.075,"hash":"11449a838daf79ce58910581b30d23b1f2f2886fcf5ef18a078b325283ac0b89","prev_hash":"a22380175ee26ee1586021c7bf9358adf4f258770d8803312c338e39f1512fcc"},{"id":55,"at":"2026-11-12T22:15:24.504Z","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","forecast":0.075,"crowd":0.075,"hash":"a22380175ee26ee1586021c7bf9358adf4f258770d8803312c338e39f1512fcc","prev_hash":"1c07092112f7db5c4c3f273481716839fb964f0ca654639d8980c14a7f5b97db"},{"id":54,"at":"2026-11-12T22:15:24.504Z","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-30","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","forecast":0.77,"crowd":0.77,"hash":"1c07092112f7db5c4c3f273481716839fb964f0ca654639d8980c14a7f5b97db","prev_hash":"9533dfb552e903fa7f5cab1a2522d1cabf7aa1478e0e64dc22d27ea782b6426d"},{"id":53,"at":"2026-11-12T22:15:24.504Z","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-22-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?","forecast":0.52,"crowd":0.52,"hash":"9533dfb552e903fa7f5cab1a2522d1cabf7aa1478e0e64dc22d27ea782b6426d","prev_hash":"8577d3beccba5f195b97f8840a4b1c12369d31263d1aa7709ff127b5554c4e06"},{"id":52,"at":"2026-11-12T21:15:24.342Z","slug":"will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-december-2026-meeting-20260729232808635","title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?","forecast":0.0155,"crowd":0.0155,"hash":"8577d3beccba5f195b97f8840a4b1c12369d31263d1aa7709ff127b5554c4e06","prev_hash":"9217d77709b6c26e513c765a1bbcc67fef1be82a2676d2afc6233983fffc3c5a"},{"id":51,"at":"2026-11-12T21:15:24.342Z","slug":"will-crude-oil-reach-a-new-all-time-high-by-december-31","title":"Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?","forecast":0.07,"crowd":0.07,"hash":"9217d77709b6c26e513c765a1bbcc67fef1be82a2676d2afc6233983fffc3c5a","prev_hash":"ba2587684fa6ad9c86837dc190266b8af65d039d835d25a11d625db1041b2b27"},{"id":50,"at":"2026-11-12T21:15:24.342Z","slug":"us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-december-31-2026-20260727171803489-375-949-645-919-269-157-255-857","title":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?","forecast":0.277,"crowd":0.277,"hash":"ba2587684fa6ad9c86837dc190266b8af65d039d835d25a11d625db1041b2b27","prev_hash":"bcd03cc0ff3fb9ad4bd90dd25b01d8bc98fa18560f2ba27c39f55e054c3ad391"},{"id":49,"at":"2026-11-12T21:15:24.342Z","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-15-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?","forecast":0.425,"crowd":0.425,"hash":"bcd03cc0ff3fb9ad4bd90dd25b01d8bc98fa18560f2ba27c39f55e054c3ad391","prev_hash":"3f53c07fefdd01e6ea27c71666e31b207d72cda36ba5116a4a2e1df528911896"},{"id":48,"at":"2026-11-12T21:15:24.342Z","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-december-31-415","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","forecast":0.565,"crowd":0.565,"hash":"3f53c07fefdd01e6ea27c71666e31b207d72cda36ba5116a4a2e1df528911896","prev_hash":"5d572f04c9249077f4af368b854e338c489a12f168b5ee04f6e6c423ff0e9009"},{"id":47,"at":"2026-11-12T20:15:24.991Z","slug":"us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-december-31-2026-191","title":"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?","forecast":0.0369,"crowd":0.075,"hash":"5d572f04c9249077f4af368b854e338c489a12f168b5ee04f6e6c423ff0e9009","prev_hash":"52ff0e77c922c81d2b2a7c91898604705aa54fe6d58f69c954d455c02fbe1f56"},{"id":46,"at":"2026-11-12T20:15:24.991Z","slug":"us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-november-30-2026","title":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?","forecast":0.085,"crowd":0.085,"hash":"52ff0e77c922c81d2b2a7c91898604705aa54fe6d58f69c954d455c02fbe1f56","prev_hash":"6934160a54bd0fd190040863cc91a6e3662f5faff5ff8de42d63a5388a003f77"},{"id":45,"at":"2026-11-12T20:15:24.991Z","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","forecast":0.085,"crowd":0.085,"hash":"6934160a54bd0fd190040863cc91a6e3662f5faff5ff8de42d63a5388a003f77","prev_hash":"89ddbaa8fb69034adc5f7af4f29e93817b3bfbabc2993007b5acdcdae1ca31c1"},{"id":44,"at":"2026-11-12T20:15:24.991Z","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-30","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","forecast":0.775,"crowd":0.775,"hash":"89ddbaa8fb69034adc5f7af4f29e93817b3bfbabc2993007b5acdcdae1ca31c1","prev_hash":"07bfce7163f24fa52a9dde419ce0e54c9fbb7bd82108ac96d1f724b858b59616"},{"id":43,"at":"2026-11-12T20:15:24.991Z","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-22-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?","forecast":0.51,"crowd":0.51,"hash":"07bfce7163f24fa52a9dde419ce0e54c9fbb7bd82108ac96d1f724b858b59616","prev_hash":"0419f55ada5b81e9346a65bd7eee67837d20f806cca78f19a588a6bcf465fd5d"},{"id":42,"at":"2026-11-12T19:15:24.233Z","slug":"next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-by-november-30-2026","title":"Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?","forecast":0.095,"crowd":0.095,"hash":"0419f55ada5b81e9346a65bd7eee67837d20f806cca78f19a588a6bcf465fd5d","prev_hash":"a04cf13f79fd9d2de4514c456ddbf2575649885b1d66cf26e319dced72554012"},{"id":41,"at":"2026-11-12T19:15:24.233Z","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","forecast":0.085,"crowd":0.085,"hash":"a04cf13f79fd9d2de4514c456ddbf2575649885b1d66cf26e319dced72554012","prev_hash":"5bdc39995b89c2aaf43844fda72df8105e8d94a75d6d055951054066b1c46dda"},{"id":40,"at":"2026-11-12T19:15:24.233Z","slug":"will-anthropic-ipo-by-november-19-2026","title":"Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?","forecast":0.9605,"crowd":0.9605,"hash":"5bdc39995b89c2aaf43844fda72df8105e8d94a75d6d055951054066b1c46dda","prev_hash":"03f806532642181d9442c515fc9264c8c82a27056186745caa077e2ff3f13d84"},{"id":39,"at":"2026-11-12T19:15:24.233Z","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-30","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","forecast":0.77,"crowd":0.77,"hash":"03f806532642181d9442c515fc9264c8c82a27056186745caa077e2ff3f13d84","prev_hash":"6acf09bca2405da29e532c2a4d253fe24adce994a5b7475ae288fad4a45ceb9f"},{"id":38,"at":"2026-11-12T19:15:24.233Z","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-22-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?","forecast":0.515,"crowd":0.515,"hash":"6acf09bca2405da29e532c2a4d253fe24adce994a5b7475ae288fad4a45ceb9f","prev_hash":"cad06898b1dea85280622eea498c635c759d40eb1dec7045fc42e897a6fbfe96"},{"id":37,"at":"2026-11-12T18:15:24.318Z","slug":"pete-hegseth-impeached-by-december-31-2026-20260628214100529","title":"Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?","forecast":0.699,"crowd":0.699,"hash":"cad06898b1dea85280622eea498c635c759d40eb1dec7045fc42e897a6fbfe96","prev_hash":"37bc4bde91369e6e5063520dbb324bc34d50b17d932522140bfa713e3bb1c0b6"},{"id":36,"at":"2026-11-12T18:15:24.318Z","slug":"will-anthropic-ipo-by-november-20-2026","title":"Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?","forecast":0.9585,"crowd":0.9585,"hash":"37bc4bde91369e6e5063520dbb324bc34d50b17d932522140bfa713e3bb1c0b6","prev_hash":"bc821dd598cbf48dc9497c5bc774b6fb1c7227ff0f431d793a5fc373fc6c0646"},{"id":35,"at":"2026-11-12T18:15:24.318Z","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-30","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","forecast":0.79,"crowd":0.79,"hash":"bc821dd598cbf48dc9497c5bc774b6fb1c7227ff0f431d793a5fc373fc6c0646","prev_hash":"f43f720f6ad3daa864c1c7c686efbde3f281e7c28fe7cabc793a758c2a303e31"},{"id":34,"at":"2026-11-12T18:15:24.318Z","slug":"us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-december-31-2026-20260727171803489-375-949-645-919-269-157-255-857","title":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?","forecast":0.3035,"crowd":0.3035,"hash":"f43f720f6ad3daa864c1c7c686efbde3f281e7c28fe7cabc793a758c2a303e31","prev_hash":"07d3db69d269689d7e33e64af1991730aabee88369b31822f0a35cb638c0fade"},{"id":33,"at":"2026-11-12T18:15:24.318Z","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-22-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?","forecast":0.54,"crowd":0.54,"hash":"07d3db69d269689d7e33e64af1991730aabee88369b31822f0a35cb638c0fade","prev_hash":"50ce2bbbd28ae548992cedf387014f2d47a402e68f79c364a84bfdb6c716d4f6"},{"id":32,"at":"2026-11-12T17:15:24.263Z","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","forecast":0.075,"crowd":0.075,"hash":"50ce2bbbd28ae548992cedf387014f2d47a402e68f79c364a84bfdb6c716d4f6","prev_hash":"0c8d24a1d42ba0747a6f498e8c03eb321194c6d63dfd4c22b464cec5eb13f1b6"},{"id":31,"at":"2026-11-12T17:15:24.263Z","slug":"will-anthropic-ipo-by-november-20-2026","title":"Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?","forecast":0.9675,"crowd":0.9675,"hash":"0c8d24a1d42ba0747a6f498e8c03eb321194c6d63dfd4c22b464cec5eb13f1b6","prev_hash":"b5604e702423c49b5ef65fb10f829b04e1eab48131e285138be04fdf469e5e31"},{"id":30,"at":"2026-11-12T17:15:24.263Z","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-30","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","forecast":0.825,"crowd":0.825,"hash":"b5604e702423c49b5ef65fb10f829b04e1eab48131e285138be04fdf469e5e31","prev_hash":"0e7025f5ecf46634bb10165a1894111f2d3a2291c83126fe97edf9f589923229"},{"id":29,"at":"2026-11-12T17:15:24.263Z","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-22-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?","forecast":0.635,"crowd":0.635,"hash":"0e7025f5ecf46634bb10165a1894111f2d3a2291c83126fe97edf9f589923229","prev_hash":"fcfed67ccdc9ced2817215b4514e5f3f71d6df69e873078022d513411cb837e1"},{"id":28,"at":"2026-11-12T17:15:24.263Z","slug":"us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-december-31-2026-20260727171803489-375-949-645-919-269-157-255-857","title":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?","forecast":0.3555,"crowd":0.3555,"hash":"fcfed67ccdc9ced2817215b4514e5f3f71d6df69e873078022d513411cb837e1","prev_hash":"ceaa942681710b396e801a08a16cc8861c5584128d69e49eb13e92127c1527a2"},{"id":27,"at":"2026-11-12T16:15:24.603Z","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","forecast":0.075,"crowd":0.075,"hash":"ceaa942681710b396e801a08a16cc8861c5584128d69e49eb13e92127c1527a2","prev_hash":"7b6fcf5e91a1c4457879e19278907a76fb3fb56e768a93c06870c38fe971f2f5"},{"id":26,"at":"2026-11-12T16:15:24.603Z","slug":"us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-november-30-2026","title":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?","forecast":0.095,"crowd":0.095,"hash":"7b6fcf5e91a1c4457879e19278907a76fb3fb56e768a93c06870c38fe971f2f5","prev_hash":"67b20f5ecacdb0a591bf6c21d31a18be84924f011332a539c6c01fd945c5add3"},{"id":25,"at":"2026-11-12T16:15:24.603Z","slug":"will-anthropic-ipo-by-november-20-2026","title":"Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?","forecast":0.953,"crowd":0.953,"hash":"67b20f5ecacdb0a591bf6c21d31a18be84924f011332a539c6c01fd945c5add3","prev_hash":"bc46b9d7e551d7245666ff9b74880b92423f2a2f22ba04dd853d10ba5058c004"},{"id":24,"at":"2026-11-12T16:15:24.603Z","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-30","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","forecast":0.82,"crowd":0.82,"hash":"bc46b9d7e551d7245666ff9b74880b92423f2a2f22ba04dd853d10ba5058c004","prev_hash":"742c4a5c7e38d2461db9fd63860c51f92767ce33af79a7979fab61e3610c4d21"},{"id":23,"at":"2026-11-12T16:15:24.603Z","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-22-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?","forecast":0.635,"crowd":0.635,"hash":"742c4a5c7e38d2461db9fd63860c51f92767ce33af79a7979fab61e3610c4d21","prev_hash":"043b21015181179adb83c425fadb56e4b1ae8e4f129bdf01f8ca834cf4259a7d"},{"id":22,"at":"2026-11-12T15:15:24.372Z","slug":"next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-by-november-30-2026","title":"Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?","forecast":0.16,"crowd":0.16,"hash":"043b21015181179adb83c425fadb56e4b1ae8e4f129bdf01f8ca834cf4259a7d","prev_hash":"e71b3d3dcf6259c422686b562af5a3331446f8c9004e3f2f6f24a1ee692ccc62"},{"id":21,"at":"2026-11-12T15:15:24.372Z","slug":"us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-november-30-2026","title":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?","forecast":0.195,"crowd":0.195,"hash":"e71b3d3dcf6259c422686b562af5a3331446f8c9004e3f2f6f24a1ee692ccc62","prev_hash":"6ac585d522e837a7fb33cf7280e503dff39031181224d5221381f819bc724e1a"},{"id":20,"at":"2026-11-12T15:15:24.372Z","slug":"israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-30","title":"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","forecast":0.745,"crowd":0.745,"hash":"6ac585d522e837a7fb33cf7280e503dff39031181224d5221381f819bc724e1a","prev_hash":"cf352aeff6fa2bb1e3603195cc8ab27ae6581f70e9dad55aab847fc57548dda4"},{"id":19,"at":"2026-11-12T15:15:24.372Z","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-22-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?","forecast":0.635,"crowd":0.635,"hash":"cf352aeff6fa2bb1e3603195cc8ab27ae6581f70e9dad55aab847fc57548dda4","prev_hash":"abc680f40aea6106d7181b7ed1d305ed11fa1450dd084feb6252aeb9099a21cb"},{"id":18,"at":"2026-11-12T14:15:24.510Z","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-22-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?","forecast":0.635,"crowd":0.635,"hash":"abc680f40aea6106d7181b7ed1d305ed11fa1450dd084feb6252aeb9099a21cb","prev_hash":"b7a947b255a157989dc0aec2c005be65d20ca9456f0ae062f530afbf54edb8e9"},{"id":17,"at":"2026-11-12T14:15:24.510Z","slug":"iran-leadership-change-by-november-30","title":"Iran leadership change by November 30?","forecast":0.0225,"crowd":0.0225,"hash":"b7a947b255a157989dc0aec2c005be65d20ca9456f0ae062f530afbf54edb8e9","prev_hash":"0a5cf875c72670b92b5669b0106ea6b3923f5f0d85ade17bf516f2f43fbd4ee7"},{"id":16,"at":"2026-11-12T14:15:24.510Z","slug":"pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-october-31-20261001003401433","title":"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?","forecast":0.285,"crowd":0.285,"hash":"0a5cf875c72670b92b5669b0106ea6b3923f5f0d85ade17bf516f2f43fbd4ee7","prev_hash":"2d0fc86665d9fba0a11edb7ba6ac524d272f2c79fd65289e2bf6495edda2c9c2"},{"id":15,"at":"2026-11-12T14:15:24.510Z","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","forecast":0.125,"crowd":0.125,"hash":"2d0fc86665d9fba0a11edb7ba6ac524d272f2c79fd65289e2bf6495edda2c9c2","prev_hash":"f82f5a67bea8353215d8635a16edbd32df4f1ef055f8000900ed4c7f76b2cd4f"},{"id":14,"at":"2026-11-12T13:15:24.233Z","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-22-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?","forecast":0.669,"crowd":0.635,"hash":"f82f5a67bea8353215d8635a16edbd32df4f1ef055f8000900ed4c7f76b2cd4f","prev_hash":"d4bca24c8794abd647ae144e6288d604796f32edee5765d260658877748f11a3"},{"id":13,"at":"2026-11-12T13:15:24.233Z","slug":"iran-leadership-change-by-november-30","title":"Iran leadership change by November 30?","forecast":0.0225,"crowd":0.0225,"hash":"d4bca24c8794abd647ae144e6288d604796f32edee5765d260658877748f11a3","prev_hash":"644ef244b1e8a4c6f13d0ff34b2e816a298d4b6f7accc38ecb43d9c9a2765c2a"},{"id":12,"at":"2026-11-12T13:15:24.233Z","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","forecast":0.125,"crowd":0.125,"hash":"644ef244b1e8a4c6f13d0ff34b2e816a298d4b6f7accc38ecb43d9c9a2765c2a","prev_hash":"7c3f8eb9d6c77b874d7436634eb4bea9d9b05a6bda47eaff494d31cc0dc07fbe"},{"id":11,"at":"2026-11-12T13:15:24.233Z","slug":"jensen-huang-announced-resignation-or-removal-by-december-31","title":"Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?","forecast":0.5751,"crowd":0.4694,"hash":"7c3f8eb9d6c77b874d7436634eb4bea9d9b05a6bda47eaff494d31cc0dc07fbe","prev_hash":"82a7b225f9e0fc10c31ceaa531f8eb63fdf0819c31de1788b0c70837a07c33a2"},{"id":10,"at":"2026-11-12T12:15:24.424Z","slug":"pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-december-31","title":"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?","forecast":0.425,"crowd":0.425,"hash":"82a7b225f9e0fc10c31ceaa531f8eb63fdf0819c31de1788b0c70837a07c33a2","prev_hash":"0c9828e947daf5a806e65cdd823b8cdd891835f02a619344cbef93ddf9a27871"},{"id":9,"at":"2026-11-12T12:15:24.424Z","slug":"us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-december-31-2026-191","title":"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?","forecast":0.095,"crowd":0.095,"hash":"0c9828e947daf5a806e65cdd823b8cdd891835f02a619344cbef93ddf9a27871","prev_hash":"eb44b6685eb4cac0a6d491bba732f5a9955a776b4782a8359144f318f515c9f4"},{"id":8,"at":"2026-11-12T12:15:24.424Z","slug":"will-anthropic-ipo-by-november-20-2026","title":"Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?","forecast":0.9195,"crowd":0.9195,"hash":"eb44b6685eb4cac0a6d491bba732f5a9955a776b4782a8359144f318f515c9f4","prev_hash":"575d10780709888473e277acb6c0f98ad056b70c99eb297b8789ed39cef214c1"},{"id":7,"at":"2026-11-12T12:15:24.424Z","slug":"jensen-huang-announced-resignation-or-removal-by-december-31","title":"Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?","forecast":0.6255,"crowd":0.5282,"hash":"575d10780709888473e277acb6c0f98ad056b70c99eb297b8789ed39cef214c1","prev_hash":"ba35dc786a29c2c24d3945ea7f35e907098db099b772593ac66d72815209d2a1"},{"id":6,"at":"2026-11-12T11:15:24.443Z","slug":"pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-october-31-20261001003401433","title":"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?","forecast":0.285,"crowd":0.285,"hash":"ba35dc786a29c2c24d3945ea7f35e907098db099b772593ac66d72815209d2a1","prev_hash":"7345e51a6bf7d8e37e7cb1ef080c75c0672ea5eacfb688679a8d297dcaf0aa98"},{"id":5,"at":"2026-11-12T11:15:24.443Z","slug":"will-anthropic-ipo-by-november-20-2026","title":"Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?","forecast":0.8485,"crowd":0.8485,"hash":"7345e51a6bf7d8e37e7cb1ef080c75c0672ea5eacfb688679a8d297dcaf0aa98","prev_hash":"9778905c63941929840f85737f31f4ab5418ed725dbab1b150198bb164367e7f"},{"id":4,"at":"2026-11-12T10:15:24.435Z","slug":"will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-december-2026-meeting-20260729232808635","title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?","forecast":0.225,"crowd":0.225,"hash":"9778905c63941929840f85737f31f4ab5418ed725dbab1b150198bb164367e7f","prev_hash":"c9ee680055330efbc6aef0a011a6b16dcb1c5b51f9d78ef164b5310134e3703f"},{"id":3,"at":"2026-11-12T10:15:24.435Z","slug":"us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-december-31-2026-191","title":"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?","forecast":0.095,"crowd":0.095,"hash":"c9ee680055330efbc6aef0a011a6b16dcb1c5b51f9d78ef164b5310134e3703f","prev_hash":"89976e519c6228453c5d8df2545006d7e03627a4a1ed3a853503855442c72272"},{"id":2,"at":"2026-11-12T10:15:24.435Z","slug":"will-anthropic-ipo-by-november-20-2026","title":"Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?","forecast":0.9345,"crowd":0.9345,"hash":"89976e519c6228453c5d8df2545006d7e03627a4a1ed3a853503855442c72272","prev_hash":"82514e343329efb1c435dc2838c359a12cb277d72bee342a32b0652071e6ee55"},{"id":1,"at":"2026-11-12T10:15:24.435Z","slug":"jensen-huang-announced-resignation-or-removal-by-december-31","title":"Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?","forecast":0.5937,"crowd":0.4886,"hash":"82514e343329efb1c435dc2838c359a12cb277d72bee342a32b0652071e6ee55","prev_hash":null}]}